Global and Local Economic Developments: Key Updates on January 17, 2025

Global and Local Economic Developments: Key Updates on January 17, 2025

The global economic landscape remains complex, with significant developments in major economies such as China, Nigeria, and the UK shaping market dynamics. While growth targets and policy reforms offer some hope, challenges in resource allocation, fiscal equity, and market stability continue to demand attention.

China Meets Growth Target Amid Economic Concerns

China's economy achieved the government's 5% growth target for 2024, according to Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data released today. However, concerns persist among citizens over declining living standards. Despite strong industrial and export performance, the benefits have not effectively trickled down to consumers, creating economic imbalances. The Chinese government faces mounting pressure to address these disparities while sustaining growth.

Dangote Refinery Plans Crude Imports Amid NNPC Supply Shortfalls

In Nigeria, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery has announced plans to import crude oil to supplement inadequate supplies from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC). The $20 billion Lekki-based facility, with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day (bpd), is projected to commence full-scale operations in June. This development underscores challenges in local crude supply and the refinery’s potential reliance on international markets.

FG Not Regulating Fuel Prices, Says Petroleum Minister

The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Heineken Lokpobiri, clarified the Federal Government’s position on fuel pricing, emphasizing that international crude oil prices primarily influence pump price fluctuations. This statement comes amid public concerns over rising fuel costs and underscores the government's limited role in domestic fuel price control.

LCCI Criticizes Delayed Rice Import Policy Implementation

The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) has criticized the Federal Government for delaying the implementation of a duty-free food import policy. The criticism follows the arrival of a 32,000-tonne shipment of brown rice from Thailand in Lagos, highlighting inefficiencies in addressing food security and inflation concerns.

Revised VAT Sharing Formula Endorsed by State Governors, Presidential Committee

After weeks of debate, Nigeria’s 36 state governors and the Presidential Tax Reform Committee have agreed on a revised Value Added Tax (VAT) sharing formula, prioritizing equality in distribution. The formula now mandates 50% equal sharing, addressing longstanding concerns over fiscal equity among states.

Nigerian Stock Market Rebounds, Gains N53.12 Billion

Positive investor sentiment returned to the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) after three days of profit-taking, resulting in a N53.12 billion increase in market capitalization. This recovery reflects renewed optimism among investors, offering a brief respite from recent market volatility.

UK Markets Brace for Prolonged Volatility

In the United Kingdom, investors are preparing for a challenging period as disruptions in the pound, government bonds, and stocks raise concerns about broader market stability. Analysts warn of potential hedge fund attacks and prolonged losses in the debt-laden market, compounding the economic strain.